Belt Holders
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Up next: Bayern Munich at FC Augsburg, October 10, 2026. The Bundesliga belt is on the line

Holder · 57th reign · 14 defenses
Bayern3-1-0

4–0 in the last 5 · Last: def. 1. FC Union Berlin 7–0

Belt on the line
SAT October 10, 2026 WWK Arena, Augsburg 3:30 PM ET ET
Challenger · last held 2026
FCAugsburg2-1-1

2–2 in the last 5 · Last: lost to Werder Bremen 2–3

If Bayern win

15th defense · reign reaches 224 days

If Augsburg win

Belt changes hands · Augsburg’s 10th reign

Head to head, belt games

Met 10 times · Bayern 7, Augsburg 3

2026–27 records

Bayern 3–0–1 · Augsburg 2–1–1

68% to defend, per our Elo estimate · 15% to hold the belt through the regular season (outlook) · line MUN -525, O/U 4.5 (DraftKings)

Beat the lean

Pick before tipoff. We grade it after the game. The lean says Bayern Munich.

The preview · AI-written

Bayern Munich travel to FC Augsburg with the belt on the line

Bayern Munich brings the Belt Holders lineal championship to Augsburg on October 10th, 2026, having defended it 14 times in their current reign. The belt passes to whoever wins this match, with no committees involved—just pure on-field results tracing back through Bundesliga history. Augsburg has held the belt 9 times previously and will look to claim it again on home soil.

Worth watching

  • Bayern's explosive attack (12 goals in last 3 wins) against an Augsburg defense that just conceded 3 at Bremen
  • Augsburg's home hope after their recent 2-1 upset over Bayern in January 2026
  • Bayern's 14-defense belt reign faces a motivated Augsburg side with mixed recent form (2-1-1 record)

The numbers

Bayern's recent form is dominant with back-to-back wins including a 7-0 demolition, and they hold a commanding 23-5-2 all-time edge over Augsburg. However, the most recent meeting saw Augsburg pull off a 2-1 upset at Bayern in January. The -525 line and 68% Elo probability reflect Bayern's overwhelming favoritism, though the 4.5 over/under suggests bookmakers expect goals given both teams' recent scoring trends.

The lean
Bayern Munich 3, FC Augsburg 1

Bayern Munich enters in scorching form with 14 goals across their last three victories, including that 7-0 thrashing of Union Berlin. While Augsburg did upset Bayern 2-1 in their last meeting and has shown they can score (4 goals at Frankfurt, 3 against Schalke), their recent 3-2 loss at Bremen suggests defensive vulnerabilities. Bayern's 3-0-1 record and dominant head-to-head history (23-5-2) point to the visitors extending their belt reign to 15 defenses. The road setting provides Augsburg some hope, but Bayern's current momentum appears too strong to deny.

Written by Claude from the stats on this page: a for-fun editorial call, not betting advice or a guarantee. If it stops being fun, the National Problem Gambling Helpline is 1-800-522-4700.

Recent form

Last 5 games

Bayern Munich

  • W7–0vs 1. FC Union BerlinSep 18, 2026
  • W2–1at SV ElversbergSep 13, 2026
  • T0–0at FC Schalke 04Sep 5, 2026
  • W5–1vs VfB StuttgartAug 28, 2026
  • W5–1vs 1. FC KölnMay 16, 2026

FC Augsburg

  • L2–3at Werder BremenSep 19, 2026
  • T2–2vs Bayer LeverkusenSep 12, 2026
  • W4–1at Eintracht FrankfurtSep 6, 2026
  • W3–0vs FC Schalke 04Aug 30, 2026
  • L0–4at 1. FC Union BerlinMay 16, 2026
Head to head

All-time series

Bayern Munich lead the series 23–5, 2 ties, going back to November 6, 2011.

DateMatchupScore (away–home)
Jan 24, 2026FC Augsburg at Bayern Munich2–1
Aug 30, 2025Bayern Munich at FC Augsburg3–2
Apr 4, 2025Bayern Munich at FC Augsburg3–1
Nov 22, 2024FC Augsburg at Bayern Munich0–3
Jan 27, 2024Bayern Munich at FC Augsburg3–2
Aug 27, 2023FC Augsburg at Bayern Munich1–3
Mar 11, 2023FC Augsburg at Bayern Munich3–5
Sep 17, 2022Bayern Munich at FC Augsburg0–1
Apr 9, 2022FC Augsburg at Bayern Munich0–1
Nov 19, 2021Bayern Munich at FC Augsburg1–2

Bayern Munich have a 68% chance to defend, by our Elo ratings. Here's every way the next four belt games can go: win, and the holder plays its next game; lose, and the challenger carries the belt into theirs.

Next belt game
Oct 10
Bayern at Augsburg
Bayern 68% · Augsburg 32%
Belt game 2
Oct 17 · 68% to happen
Bayern vs. Leipzig
Bayern 74% · Leipzig 26%
Oct 17 · 32% to happen
Augsburg at Elversberg
Augsburg 42% · Elversberg 58%
Belt game 3
Oct 25 · 50% to happen
Bayern at Freiburg
Bayern 64% · Freiburg 36%
Oct 24 · 18% to happen
Elversberg at Leipzig
Elversberg 37% · Leipzig 63%
Oct 24 · 18% to happen
Leipzig vs. Elversberg
Leipzig 63% · Elversberg 37%
Oct 24 · 13% to happen
Augsburg vs. Union Berlin
Augsburg 65% · Union Berlin 35%
Belt game 4
Oct 31 · 32% to happen
Bayern vs. Dortmund
Bayern 65% · Dortmund 35%
Oct 31 · 18% to happen
Freiburg at Augsburg
Freiburg 48% · Augsburg 52%
Oct 31 · 12% to happen
Leipzig at Schalke
Leipzig 53% · Schalke 47%
Oct 31 · 11% to happen
Leipzig at Schalke
Leipzig 53% · Schalke 47%
Oct 31 · 9% to happen
Augsburg vs. Freiburg
Augsburg 52% · Freiburg 48%
Oct 30 · 7% to happen
Elversberg vs. Mainz
Elversberg 57% · Mainz 43%
Oct 30 · 6% to happen
Elversberg vs. Mainz
Elversberg 57% · Mainz 43%
Nov 1 · 5% to happen
Union Berlin vs. Köln
Union Berlin 58% · Köln 42%

Who holds it after each game

TeamAfter game 1After game 2After game 3After game 4
Bayern Munich68%50%32%21%
FC Augsburg32%13%9%14%
SC Freiburg——18%13%
RB Leipzig—18%23%12%
Borussia Dortmund———11%
FC Schalke 04———11%
SV Elversberg—18%13%8%
1. FSV Mainz 05———6%
1. FC Union Berlin——5%3%
1. FC Köln———2%

Know the second a belt changes hands

One email per title change. Nothing else.